Deals

Deals

Trade entries, exits, and position updates — a transparent log of every significant move.

18 entries
  1. SpaceX Just Raised $75 Billion — The Real Story Is Which Door It Opened Behind It
    Deals··3 min read

    SpaceX Just Raised $75 Billion — The Real Story Is Which Door It Opened Behind It

    SpaceX raised $75 billion in the largest IPO ever, more than double Saudi Aramco's record. Ruslan Averin argues the bigger trade isn't SPCX itself — it's the narrow, AI-led IPO window now opening for the next dominoes.

  2. Nuvei Is Buying Payoneer for $2.75B Cash — This Is the Kind of M&A I Actually Like
    Deals··3 min read

    Nuvei Is Buying Payoneer for $2.75B Cash — This Is the Kind of M&A I Actually Like

    Payoneer jumped on June 15 after Nuvei agreed to take it private at $7.40 a share in an all-cash $2.75B deal. Analyst Ruslan Averin on why a clean cash buyout beats a rumor candle every time.

  3. Big Banks Led Friday's Tape — And the Real Catalyst Is Two Weeks Away
    Deals··3 min read

    Big Banks Led Friday's Tape — And the Real Catalyst Is Two Weeks Away

    Goldman, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo rallied on June 12 ahead of late-June stress tests — the gate that decides the next round of buybacks and dividend hikes.

  4. GameStop's $56B eBay Bid Was Rejected. Ryan Cohen's Capital Play Isn't Over.
    Deals··6 min read

    GameStop's $56B eBay Bid Was Rejected. Ryan Cohen's Capital Play Isn't Over.

    GameStop bid $56B ($125/share, 46% premium) to acquire eBay. eBay rejected it as 'neither credible nor attractive.' Here's why Cohen's capital allocation thesis is more interesting than the headline.

  5. A San Francisco VC Just Paid $535 Million for a Piece of OnlyFans — And Called It 'Creator Economy'
    Deals··5 min read

    A San Francisco VC Just Paid $535 Million for a Piece of OnlyFans — And Called It 'Creator Economy'

    Architect Capital paid $535M for 16% of OnlyFans at a $3.15B valuation — one month after the owner's death. The platform generates $7.2B in gross revenue. Here's why this deal is bigger than it looks.

  6. Amazon AWS Q1 2026: 28% Growth, $37.6B Revenue, and the AI Infrastructure Thesis
    Deals··8 min read

    Amazon AWS Q1 2026: 28% Growth, $37.6B Revenue, and the AI Infrastructure Thesis

    AWS Q1 2026 revenue hit $37.59B, up 28% YoY — fastest growth in 15 quarters. Here's why I'm holding AMZN and what the capex bet actually means.

  7. Amazon AWS Q1 2026: 28% Growth, $37.6B Revenue, and the AI Infrastructure Thesis
    Deals··8 min read

    Amazon AWS Q1 2026: 28% Growth, $37.6B Revenue, and the AI Infrastructure Thesis

    AWS posted $37.6B in Q1 2026 — its fastest growth in 15 quarters — as Amazon bets $44B in CapEx on AI supremacy. Here's why I hold AMZN.

  8. Alphabet Q1 2026: Search Holds, YouTube Accelerates, I Added at $168
    Deals··8 min

    Alphabet Q1 2026: Search Holds, YouTube Accelerates, I Added at $168

    Alphabet reported Q1 revenue of $90.2B (+12% YoY), YouTube $9.4B, Cloud $12.3B at 28% margin. I added to my position at $168 post-earnings. Here's the full.

  9. Meta Q1 2026: 42% Operating Margin and Why I Added at $580
    Deals··8 min

    Meta Q1 2026: 42% Operating Margin and Why I Added at $580

    Meta's Q1 2026: $42.3B revenue, 42% operating margin, AI Advantage+ doubling ad performance. I initiated a new position at $572 and added at $580. Full thesis.

  10. Berkshire's $334B Cash Pile: What Buffett Is Waiting For
    Deals··8 min

    Berkshire's $334B Cash Pile: What Buffett Is Waiting For

    Berkshire holds $334B in cash and T-bills — generating $6.9B/year risk-free. No major acquisitions since 2023. I hold BRK.B and read the cash pile as a signal.

  11. Amazon Q1 2026: AWS Breaks $26B as Cloud Becomes Profit Equal to Retail
    Deals··8 min

    Amazon Q1 2026: AWS Breaks $26B as Cloud Becomes Profit Equal to Retail

    AWS surpassed $26 billion in quarterly revenue with 20% YoY growth, while advertising accelerated to 30% growth. Analysts dissect what Amazon's cloud-first.

  12. AWS Accelerates, CapEx Hits $200B+ Territory — Here's My Read on the Trade
    Deals··5 min

    AWS Accelerates, CapEx Hits $200B+ Territory — Here's My Read on the Trade

    Amazon Q1 2026: $187.8B revenue, $18.4B operating income, AWS +17% YoY, and $105B CapEx — the largest in corporate history. My read on why it's bullish.

  13. Meta Is Spending $65B on AI. I'm Long at $563.
    Deals··5 min

    Meta Is Spending $65B on AI. I'm Long at $563.

    Bought META at $563.20 before Q1 earnings; betting on advertising revenue growth overriding AI capex concerns.

  14. Emerson Electric (EMR): Entering Ahead of a Clean Earnings Beat
    Deals··5 min

    Emerson Electric (EMR): Entering Ahead of a Clean Earnings Beat

    I initiated a long in EMR at $138.40 one day before Q1 2026 earnings. The beat and raised guidance sent the stock to $143.60 — a 3.76% gain in two sessions.

  15. ConocoPhillips (COP): Buying the Macro Fear Dip in Quality E&P
    Deals··5 min

    ConocoPhillips (COP): Buying the Macro Fear Dip in Quality E&P

    COP dropped 2.1% on April 22 on tariff-demand fears — an overreaction in a company with a Permian-dominant, low-breakeven portfolio. I bought the dip at.

  16. EOG Resources: Entering the Best-in-Class Independent E&P After the Pullback
    Deals··5 min

    EOG Resources: Entering the Best-in-Class Independent E&P After the Pullback

    EOG sat at $129.50 — the lower third of its 12-month range — while the market ignored its well economics story. I entered on April 21 and exited at $134.30 on.

  17. EQT Corporation: The Natural Gas Setup Nobody Wanted Before the Beat
    Deals··6 min

    EQT Corporation: The Natural Gas Setup Nobody Wanted Before the Beat

    EQT was down 12% over the prior month when I entered at $56.40 on April 20. Q1 earnings the next day: revenue +94% YoY, EPS $2.36 beat. I exited at $59.80 on.

  18. Trimmed SPX Put Spread — Taking 60% Profit
    Deals··3 min

    Trimmed SPX Put Spread — Taking 60% Profit

    Closed the Jan SPX 4800/4700 put spread for 60% profit. Notes on timing.