Analysis·June 11, 2026·3 min read

Oneok (OKE) Is Up 18% and Still Pays 4.8% — The Catch Is in One Ratio

Price · 12MYahoo Finance ↗

Oneok gives income investors everything they ask for: up 18% this year, a 4.8% yield paying $4.28 a share, 60,000 miles of pipelines, and 90% of earnings fee-based — insulated from commodity swings. The question after the rally is no longer quality. It is price.

MetricValue
2026 YTD+18%
Dividend yield~4.8% ($4.28/share)
Fee-based earnings~90%
Q1 net income+12%
Q1 EBITDA+13%
Permian/Gulf NGL volumes+31%
P/E (fwd)~16
PEG>2

Why it moved

The rally has fundamentals behind it: management raised 2026 guidance after a quarter with net income up 12%, EBITDA up 13%, and natural gas liquids throughput up 31% in the Permian and Gulf Coast corridors. Midstream is quietly an AI-era story too — more gas-fired power demand means more molecules through the same fee-collecting pipes. Toll-road economics in an energy bull tape.

What it means for you

At a forward P/E near 16, OKE is no longer cheap against its own history, and a PEG above 2 says growth no longer covers the multiple. That does not make it a sell — it makes it a hold-and-collect: the 4.8% yield is well-funded by fee-based cash flow, but buyers at today's price are underwriting income, not appreciation. Energy Transfer and Enterprise Products trade cheaper if valuation is the priority.

Bottom line: I would happily keep collecting OKE's 4.8% but I am not chasing an 18% rally for a midstream name at PEG over 2 — new money waits for the pullback that fee-based stories reliably offer in energy corrections.

A
Ruslan AverinInvestor & Market Analyst

Writes on capital allocation, risk, and market structure.