Real Estate·August 4, 2026·6 min read

Rental Property or Government Bonds? Running the Numbers Honestly

The most common investment question in Ukraine today is whether to buy an apartment to rent out or to put the same money into government bonds. It is usually decided on a comparison that is not quite honest — a gross rental yield set against a bond yield, with the costs of property quietly left out of the first number.

The comparison as it is usually made

Rental propertyOVDP
Headline returngross rent ÷ price15–16%
Tax on incomeapplies to rental incomeexempt
Liquiditymonths to sellsecondary market
Ongoing costsseveral, see belownone
Vacancy riskrealnone
Inflation linkageyes, rents adjustfixed coupon
Underlying riskproperty, tenant, locationthe sovereign

What a gross yield leaves out

A landlord's actual return is what remains after a list of items that rarely appear in advertised yield figures:

Vacancy. No property is occupied every month of every year. Tenant turnover, repairs between tenancies and periods of weak demand all subtract from the annual figure.

Maintenance and repairs. Ongoing wear plus periodic renovation. Property that is not maintained loses both rent and resale value.

Building fees and utilities not covered by the tenant.

Tax on rental income, which OVDP coupon income does not pay.

Management time, or the cost of paying someone else to do it.

Run those through and the gap between advertised gross yields and realised net yields in Ukrainian residential property is usually several percentage points. That is the number that belongs next to 15–16%, and it typically does not win the arithmetic contest.

What property offers that bonds do not

The arithmetic is not the whole case, and treating it as such would be as misleading as ignoring costs.

Property is a real asset. It exists independently of the state's balance sheet, which matters in a country where the sovereign is the counterparty on the alternative instrument. Rents adjust with inflation over time, while a bond coupon is fixed for its term — with inflation forecast at 10% and revised upward once already this year, that linkage has value.

Property can also be used, lived in, or handed to family. And it can be leveraged through the єОселя programme at 3% or 7%, which changes the calculation entirely for buyers who qualify. Borrowing at 3% to acquire an asset yielding more than that is a fundamentally different proposition from paying cash — the leverage, not the yield, is where the return comes from.

The part worth being careful about

Both instruments lean on the same country. A sovereign default scenario and a property market collapse are not independent events — they share most of their causes. Holding both is diversification of instrument, not of underlying risk.

The second point concerns horizon. Property is a ten-year decision with high transaction costs at both ends. Money that might be needed in three years does not belong in an apartment, whatever the yield comparison says.

Bottom line

On net returns and without leverage, tax-free bonds at 15–16% are difficult for Ukrainian rental property to beat right now. With єОселя leverage at 3% or 7%, the comparison inverts — and that, rather than the rental yield itself, is the real argument for property in 2026.

This is analysis, not investment advice.

Ruslan Averin is an independent investor and market analyst, author of averin.com, publishing market research since 2014.

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Ruslan AverinInvestor & Market Analyst

Writes on capital allocation, risk, and market structure.