Markets·June 13, 2026·3 min read

Rivian (RIVN) Climbed 8% as R2 Deliveries Begin — But an NHTSA Probe Sits in the Footnotes

Price · 12MYahoo Finance ↗

Rivian rose 7.9% on June 12, capping an eight-day run of about 31% as R2 SUV deliveries officially began on June 9 — its real entry into the affordable EV market.

MetricValue
Friday move+7.9%
8-day run~+31% (~$5.1B added)
CatalystR2 SUV deliveries started June 9
Strategic backingVolkswagen owns 15.9% of Class A
Street viewCFRA reaffirms Buy, target $22
RiskNHTSA probe — 114,000+ vehicles, rear toe link

Why it moved

The R2 is the whole thesis. Rivian's premium R1 trucks proved the engineering; the R2 is the volume product that decides whether this becomes a real automaker or a well-funded niche. Deliveries starting on schedule, plus Volkswagen putting 15.9% of its capital behind the platform, is the market voting that execution risk just dropped. An eight-day winning streak is momentum traders agreeing.

What it means for you

Here is the line the rally is skipping over: an NHTSA investigation into a rear toe link defect across more than 114,000 vehicles. For a company finally scaling deliveries, a remediation event lands at the worst possible moment — on cash, on reputation, on the exact ramp the stock is celebrating. I size EV positions for the gap between the launch narrative and the recall footnote, because that gap is where the volatility lives.

Bottom line: R2 going live is the most important thing Rivian has done — but a +31% week already prices a clean ramp. I respect the milestone and watch the NHTSA probe closely before paying up after the run.

Ruslan Averin is an independent investor and market analyst, author of averin.com, publishing market research since 2014.

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Ruslan AverinInvestor & Market Analyst

Writes on capital allocation, risk, and market structure.