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US02Y

US02Y — Ruslan Averin's Analysis · 2 entries

  1. Two Dates That Set Your Coupon: CPI on 11 September, the Fed on 16 September
    ·9 min read

    Two Dates That Set Your Coupon: CPI on 11 September, the Fed on 16 September

    August CPI on 11 Sep, FOMC on 16 Sep with 56% hike odds. What each outcome does to bills, the 2-year and 30-year, a ladder for both, tax for non-US buyers.

  2. Jackson Hole Put a Rate Hike Back on the Table
    ·6 min read

    Jackson Hole Put a Rate Hike Back on the Table

    Kevin Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote never mentioned a cut. September hike odds went from 35.4% to 45.7% and the 2-year yield jumped to 4.298%.