Every Ruslan Averin stock analysis, indexed by ticker — buy, hold, or avoid, with the reasoning behind each call.
The S&P 500 hit a record 7,554, up 1.65% on June 15. Ruslan Averin's read: the index number is clean, but the gap between the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq is the real story.
S&P 500 forward P/E at 20.9x — above the 5-year average of 19.2x. I break down what institutions are actually pricing, where margin risk hides, and my hedged position.
S&P 500 set a new all-time high at 7,444 on May 14. But April PPI came in at +1.4% vs 0.5% estimate — a divergence that explains why the Dow fell the same day.
American Airlines is equipping 500+ jets with Starlink at up to 1 Gbps per aircraft — joining United and Hawaiian while Delta bets on Amazon. AAL jumped 6%, and the timing next to the SpaceX IPO is no accident.
American Airlines beat Q1 2026 EPS consensus by $0.53 on record loyalty revenue. Management then withdrew annual guidance, citing macro and tariff uncertainty.
I use cash-secured puts in 3 scenarios — overvalued stock I want, post-earnings elevated IV, oversold conditions. My AAPL example: $3.20 collected, $196.80 effective cost.
Sold covered calls on AAPL at $204.80, capping upside at $210 while hedging against a worse-than-consensus China earnings miss.
AWS Q1 2026 revenue hit $37.59B, up 28% YoY — fastest growth in 15 quarters. Here's why I'm holding AMZN and what the capex bet actually means.
AWS posted $37.6B in Q1 2026 — its fastest growth in 15 quarters — as Amazon bets $44B in CapEx on AI supremacy. Here's why I hold AMZN.
AWS surpassed $26 billion in quarterly revenue with 20% YoY growth, while advertising accelerated to 30% growth. Analysts dissect what Amazon's cloud-first.
Amazon Q1 2026: $187.8B revenue, $18.4B operating income, AWS +17% YoY, and $105B CapEx — the largest in corporate history. My read on why it's bullish.
Ruslan Averin's read — BMW slashed its 2026 guidance on June 17 and the stock dropped 8%, dragging the whole sector. At ~6x earnings with a 6.3% yield, it's cheap — but cheap on numbers that just moved.
BMW delivered 565,748 cars in Q1 2026. The stock is down 25% YTD. Three simultaneous pressures explain both numbers.
CAT stock posted a 19% EPS beat and hit all-time highs in Q1 2026. ChartMill 10/10 technical rating. Bull case to $935–1000 backed by AI infrastructure.
CAT hit a new all-time high of $845 on April 23. I was positioned long at $824 with a covered call at $840 — capped upside, but 3.1% in five sessions is.
EMR stock power control orders grew 74% YoY with a 1.7GW AI data center contract. Q2 earnings May 5. Buy zone $138–143.
I initiated a long in EMR at $138.40 one day before Q1 2026 earnings. The beat and raised guidance sent the stock to $143.60 — a 3.76% gain in two sessions.
Ruslan Averin on General Motors' Q2: $3.57 EPS beat $3.20, revenue topped $48B, and management raised full-year profit guidance. The read.
Ruslan Averin's read — GM crushed Q1, shrank its EV losses, raised guidance and launched a $6B buyback — yet trades at 8x earnings. At $80 after a 3.5% pullback, this is the auto name I'd actually buy.
Ruslan Averin on gold near $4,100: why the metal rose as oil crashed, how far it fell from January's record, and what it says about the Fed.
Gold rose 2.81% to $4,357 on June 15 even as a U.S.–Iran ceasefire sent stocks toward records. Ruslan Averin on why safe havens rallied into good news — and what the bond market is really pricing.
US airstrikes on Iran, CPI at 4.2% — and gold fell 0.9% to its lowest open since November 2025. The safe haven that ignores war is telling you what it actually fears: the Fed.
Ruslan Averin on Alphabet: Q2 capex hit $44.9B and the full-year outlook rose again. Shares slipped below the 100-day average as free cash flow fell 47%.
Into the June 15 risk-on tape, Alphabet is benefiting from a structural re-rating around its TPU stack and a deal to power Apple's Siri overhaul with Gemini. Ruslan Averin breaks down why this mega-cap looks different in 2026.
Alphabet has surged +34% since April, the strongest move since 2004. Q1 EPS $2.81 vs $2.30 estimate. I added at $168 and explain why the AI stack thesis is now confirmed.
Alphabet stock analysis 2026: $109.9B Q1 revenue, 81% profit surge, Cloud $20B. Why GOOGL at 28x forward P/E may still make sense.
Alphabet reported Q1 revenue of $90.2B (+12% YoY), YouTube $9.4B, Cloud $12.3B at 28% margin. I added to my position at $168 post-earnings. Here's the full.
Alphabet Q1 2026 earnings analysis: $90.2B revenue, $2.81 EPS vs $2.01 expected, Google Cloud +28% YoY, $70B buyback announced.
Ruslan Averin on Lockheed Martin (LMT): it builds THAAD and PAC-3 — the interceptors the Gulf runs out of — yet down 25%. Same demand as RTX, half the multiple.
Lockheed, Northrop and L3Harris slid 1.1–1.9% as a U.S.–Iran ceasefire lifted the S&P 1.5%. Ruslan Averin on why peace is bad for defense names — and where the durable demand actually sits.
Ruslan Averin's call on Meta — at a forward P/E of 17.6 the market prices its $145B AI capex as value destruction. The July 29 Q2 print is the catalyst.
Meta's Q1 2026: $42.3B revenue, 42% operating margin, AI Advantage+ doubling ad performance. I initiated a new position at $572 and added at $580. Full thesis.
Bought META at $563.20 before Q1 earnings; betting on advertising revenue growth overriding AI capex concerns.
Azure accelerates to 35% YoY growth; Copilot seats hit 20M+. Our analysts assess what $80B capex signals for AI dominance.
Positioned a $412 straddle before MSFT earnings (April 30) for $18.40 per contract, betting on Azure growth re-acceleration or guidance disappointment.
Ruslan Averin on Micron (MU): the trillion-dollar memory maker with HBM sold out through 2026 and a multi-year Anthropic supply deal, riding a record Q3.
Micron crossed a $1 trillion market cap on June 11 after an 860% run in 12 months — and UBS tripled its price target to $1,625, implying another 115% upside. Here is how I read a memory maker worth a trillion dollars.
Micron options volume hit $2.8B in one session — more than SPY and QQQ combined. Here's what the trade says about the NAND supply chain and the week ahead.
Ruslan Averin's read — NIO's May deliveries hit a record 37,705, up 62%, yet the stock is flat at $5 and still loses money on every car. A Pentagon designation dispute adds risk. This stays speculative.
China confirmed its EV trade-in subsidies run through 2026, and NIO and XPeng jumped ~6%. Analyst Ruslan Averin explains why the policy floor matters more than any single delivery number.
The PHLX Semiconductor Index is up over 65% YTD into mid-June 2026, with NVIDIA still leading the AI-capex trade. Ruslan Averin explains why the leg is real, where the 1999 comparison fits, and how he's sizing it.
My earnings options framework: buy straddles pre-earnings when IV rank <40, sell post-earnings CSPs when IV is still elevated. Two NVDA trades — one loss, one win.
NVDA reports May 20. IV is 40–55% before earnings, then collapses. Here's how to trade it without getting crushed.
I sold the May $250 covered call for $10.50 per share with IV at 31%. Effective cost basis: $216.90. Target: either 9.9% return at assignment or keep shares if.
VIX at 17.8 after six weeks of compression. NVDA earnings May 21. The pre-earnings vol expansion window is open — here is the setup.
Ruslan Averin on Oracle: at 86% capex-to-sales, the software multiple no longer describes the business. Analysts are valuing an infrastructure developer.
Zacks upgraded Oracle to Buy at $201.26 on rising earnings estimates — $7.46 EPS expected for fiscal 2026 and estimates up 1.6% in three months. The signal is the direction, not the headline.
Ruslan Averin on Occidental (OXY): the analysts' geopolitical hedge — a US Permian barrel that captures a Hormuz oil spike with zero Strait transit risk.
OXY is a leveraged bet on domestic shale longevity wrapped inside a chemicals-and-midstream chassis. The CrownRock acquisition reshaped the balance sheet. What.
Opened PFE long at $25.50 on May 23. Closed today at $26.21 as Pfizer gained +1.39% on the day against a weak tape. Net +$0.71 per share (+2.78%). Why contrarian pharma worked this week.
Pfizer trades near its lows while quietly rebuilding through oncology, Seagen integration, and a 6.5% yield that keeps the question alive: value trap or.
Ruslan Averin's read — Rivian popped 7% as the first R2 SUVs rolled off the line. The product is real and the cash burn is shrinking — but it's still unprofitable. Here's the level I'd risk capital.
RIVN traded up 7.25% on June 12 as the first public R2 deliveries began and an AT&T 5G deal landed. Ruslan Averin explains why the delivery candle is the easy part — and what Q2 has to prove.
Rivian climbed off its lows during the June 15 risk-on rally as the R2 SUV launch reframes the whole story. Analyst Ruslan Averin breaks down whether mass-market volume finally justifies the move.
Rivian rose 7.9% on June 12 as R2 SUV deliveries began and VW's stake topped 15% — but a new NHTSA probe of 114,000 vehicles is the risk nobody is pricing.
Ruslan Averin on Super Micro (SMCI): shares surged ~20% after preliminary Q4 gross margin guidance jumped to 15-17% from 8.2% and orders topped $60B.
Opened SMCI long at $36.00 on May 23. Closed today at $38.19. Net +$2.19 per share, +6.1%. The highest return in the May 25–28 book. Full breakdown.
SMCI IV at 70% vs 159% realized vol — options priced for calm when the stock moves like a hurricane. The pre-earnings straddle setup explained.
SpaceX options just listed with no IV history, so the premium is huge. The bull put spread lets you sell that fear with maximum loss known to the penny.
SpaceX stock looks expensive at 190. Instead of chasing it, sell a cash-secured put and get paid to buy lower — the inflated IPO premium funds the wait.
If you own SpaceX stock, the fat new-listing call premium is income on the table. The covered call harvests it; the wheel turns it into a monthly engine.
A SpaceX iron condor sells both sides of the inflated IV with defined risk. But a small float and upside squeeze risk are why I keep this one tiny.
SpaceX options are live with triple-digit IV and wide spreads. Here is the full safety-first playbook for selling that premium — ranked by risk, with rules.
SPCX climbed 20% on Monday to close at $192.50, its first full day of trading after the largest IPO in history. As an analyst, Ruslan Averin breaks down why the move is real and where the float math gets dangerous.
SpaceX raised $75 billion in the largest IPO ever, more than double Saudi Aramco's record. Ruslan Averin argues the bigger trade isn't SPCX itself — it's the narrow, AI-led IPO window now opening for the next dominoes.
SpaceX prices its IPO tonight at $135 a share — raising $75B+ at a $1.77 trillion valuation, 2.5x bigger than Saudi Aramco's record. Friday it trades on Nasdaq as SPCX. Here is what actually matters.
Microsoft and Amazon lost $350B+ each, Apple and Alphabet ~$300B, Nvidia $260B — $2 trillion gone from the Mag 7 in June while the median S&P stock is actually up. This is a leadership problem, not a market problem.
The S&P 500 fell 2.5% this week to 7,383.74, its first weekly loss in 10 weeks. A strong May jobs report revived rate-hike fears. Here is how I read the regime.
I spend 5 hours every Sunday preparing for the trading week. Hour-by-hour breakdown: macro review, IV scan, chart review, position audit, trade plan writing.
I never risk more than 3% on a single trade. My conviction-tiered sizing system, Kelly sanity check, and sector correlation rules — the complete framework.
Every Friday I filter S&P 500 + Nasdaq 100 through 5 screens to find 5 high-conviction names. Relative strength, liquidity, fundamentals, earnings transcript language.
VIX at 14.8 with SPX at 5,420 pricing in a Goldilocks scenario—no cuts, no hikes. I bought a June SPX put spread ($24 debit) to hedge equity book tail risk.
Ruslan Averin's read — Tesla closed at $396 on June 17, down 2%. Deliveries are tracking ahead of consensus, but a 385x earnings multiple leaves no room for error. Here's the price I'd actually pay.
Tesla closed up 1.8% on June 12 in the glow of SpaceX's historic IPO, an unsupervised Austin robotaxi rollout, new EU FSD approvals and a JPMorgan upgrade.
After 10 weeks of grind-up calm, implied volatility was priced for complacency. Then payrolls came in at 172K and the VIX spiked. Here is how I read cheap protection before a known catalyst.
I target portfolio delta between -0.05 and +0.05 with $50-200/day theta. When delta drifts past ±0.10, I rebalance. My thinkorswim setup and real rebalancing example.
When a trade loses I follow a 3-threshold protocol: -25% review, -50% consider rolling, -100% close no exceptions. The NVDA iron condor that forced this system.
I trade iron condors with 7 non-negotiable rules. IV rank, strike selection, width math, and profit management — my complete neutral-market framework.
I trade VIX spikes above 25 with a 3-step system: IV rank scan, put credit spreads at -1σ, close at 50%. Here's the exact setup I use.
Q1 2026 options ADV reached 68.6M contracts/day — a new record. Here is what the surge in 0DTE retail volume and institutional hedging signals going into May expiration.
May 21 brings 51 earnings reports in a single day. VIX at 18, IV crush risk up to 60% post-release. Here's my playbook for straddles, iron condors, and the NVDA calendar spread.
VIX closed at 17.99 while CPI hits 3.8% and PPI +1.4%. Four Fed dissents. Traders pricing 30% rate hike odds. My thesis: vol is too cheap for this macro setup.