Ruslan Averin — Market Analysis Journal

201 entries

A running archive of investment thinking — markets, property, capital allocation, and the occasional philosophical detour.

May 2026

141 entries

LONG SOXX Closed: Entered at $547.20 on Friday, Exited at $563.98 Today — +3.1% in Three Trading Days

Opened a long position in iShares Semiconductor ETF at $547.20 on May 23. Closed today at $563.98. Net gain: +$16.78 per share. Full trade breakdown and exit reasoning.

Markets

May 28·4 min read

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LONG SMCI Closed at $38.19 — Best Trade of the Week: Entered at $36, Up 6.1% in Three Days on the Super Micro Recovery

Opened SMCI long at $36.00 on May 23. Closed today at $38.19. Net +$2.19 per share, +6.1%. The highest return in the May 25–28 book. Full breakdown.

Markets

May 28·4 min read

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SHORT SCHW Closed: Shorted Charles Schwab at $88.50 — Covered at $85.61 Today After a 4.24% Single-Day Collapse. Net +$2.89

Opened a short on Charles Schwab at $88.50 on May 23. Covered today at $85.61 as SCHW dropped 4.24% in a single session. Net gain: +$2.89 per share. Full trade breakdown.

Markets

May 28·4 min read

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SHORT SBSW Closed: Shorted Sibanye-Stillwater at $12 — Covered at $11.86 as PGM Sector Weakened. +$0.14 Per Share

Opened a short on SBSW at $12.00 on May 23. Covered today at $11.86 as the platinum miner dropped 2.47% on May 28. Net +$0.14 per share. Why I shorted a commodity name.

Markets

May 28·3 min read

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LONG RF Closed: Bought Regions Financial at $27.80, Closed Today at $28.09 — +1% in Three Days on a Defensive Bank Position

Opened a long on Regions Financial at $27.80 on May 23. Closed today at $28.09. Net +$0.29 per share (+1.04%). Why I use sleepy regional banks as portfolio ballast.

Markets

May 28·3 min read

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LONG PRU Closed: Bought Prudential at $101, Closed at $101.49 Today — Small Gain, Clean Exit, Japan Thesis Still Valid

Opened a long on Prudential Financial at $101.00 on May 23. Closed today at $101.49. Net +$0.49 per share (+0.49%). Why I close a dividend position after three days and what the Japan angle was.

Markets

May 28·3 min read

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LONG PFE Closed: Bought Pfizer at $25.50 on the Multi-Year Low — Closed at $26.21 Today, +2.78%. The Contrarian Pharma Trade Worked

Opened PFE long at $25.50 on May 23. Closed today at $26.21 as Pfizer gained +1.39% on the day against a weak tape. Net +$0.71 per share (+2.78%). Why contrarian pharma worked this week.

Markets

May 28·4 min read

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Ruslan Averin: The Three Kyiv Property Markets — Elite Prices Above Pre-War Highs While Budget Still Carries 40% Discount

Нові Печерські Липки hit $3,500/m² during an active war. The economy segment sits at $980. Same city, 3.5x gap. lun.ua data reveals the real Kyiv real estate story for 2026.

Real Estate

May 21·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Kyiv Real Estate Investment Analysis — What the Data Shows in 2026

Ruslan Averin's Kyiv real estate analysis: prices, rental yield, macro drivers, and who is buying in 2026.

Real Estate

May 21·9 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Ukraine Property Market 2026 — Post-War Recovery Thesis

Ruslan Averin's Ukraine property recovery thesis: reconstruction capital, regional pricing, and the investment framework for 2026.

Real Estate

May 21·9 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Warsaw Real Estate Analysis — Why Poland Is CEE's Strongest Market

Ruslan Averin on Warsaw real estate 2026: yield, migration inflows, EU funding, and why Poland leads CEE property investment.

Real Estate

May 21·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: The Great Housing Reset — Why Buyers Have Leverage for the First Time Since 2020

Ruslan Averin on the 2026 housing reset: 1.23M listings, $417K median, 6.3% rates — why buyer leverage has finally returned.

Real Estate

May 21·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: CEE Real Estate Strategy — The Nearshoring Premium and Where to Position

Ruslan Averin's CEE real estate strategy 2026: nearshoring premium, EU fund multipliers, and yield spreads across Poland, Czech, and Baltics.

Real Estate

May 21·9 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Premium Real Estate Investing — The Logic Behind High-End Property Allocation

Ruslan Averin on premium real estate investing 2026: liquidity dynamics, diversification logic, and pricing mechanics of high-end property.

Real Estate

May 21·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: European Real Estate Outlook 2026 — Three Markets That Pass the Filter

Ruslan Averin's European real estate outlook 2026: ECB rate cuts, which markets pass the framework filter — Poland, Czech, Baltics vs UK, Germany, France.

Real Estate

May 21·9 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Real Estate vs Equities in 2026 — How to Allocate Between Two Long-Duration Assets

Ruslan Averin on real estate vs equities 2026: duration, yield, liquidity, macro correlation — the framework for allocating between two long-duration assets.

Real Estate

May 21·9 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Rental Yield Analysis Across Europe — Which Markets Still Deliver Real Returns

Ruslan Averin's yield analysis: Poland, Czech Republic, Germany, Spain, Baltics compared against sovereign bonds. Which markets still offer spread.

Real Estate

May 21·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Real Estate Portfolio Construction — How to Build Exposure Without Concentration Risk

Averin's framework for building diversified real estate exposure: geography, asset type, REITs vs direct ownership, and position sizing rules.

Real Estate

May 21·9 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Luxury Property Market 2026 — What Drives Premium Segment Pricing

Averin's analysis of luxury property in Monaco, Dubai, Warsaw Wilanów, and Kyiv premium segment: who buys, why they hold, and what moves prices.

Real Estate

May 21·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Mortgage Rates at 6.3% — What This Means for Property Buyers in May 2026

Averin's read on 6.3% mortgage rates: Fannie Mae forecast, 8 months of improving affordability, and what property buyers should do now.

Real Estate

May 21·7 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Real Estate as an Inflation Hedge — The Case For and Against in 2026

Averin's analysis: when real estate actually hedges inflation and when it doesn't. Historical data, 2026 macro context, and the conditions that matter.

Real Estate

May 21·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Commercial Real Estate Recovery 2026 — Office Rebound, Industrial Boom, Retail Shift

Averin's CRE analysis: office vacancy trends, industrial logistics demand surge, retail transformation, and data centers as the new asset class.

Real Estate

May 21·9 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Real Estate Due Diligence Framework — 7 Checks Before Any Property Investment

Averin's 7-step due diligence checklist: yield verification, macro check, legal structure, exit analysis. The framework used before any property investment.

Real Estate

May 21·8 min read

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How I Manage Delta and Theta in Real Time: My Greeks Dashboard

I target portfolio delta between -0.05 and +0.05 with $50-200/day theta. When delta drifts past ±0.10, I rebalance. My thinkorswim setup and real rebalancing example.

Options

May 20·9 min read

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My Earnings Season Playbook: Trading Volatility Before and After Reports

My earnings options framework: buy straddles pre-earnings when IV rank <40, sell post-earnings CSPs when IV is still elevated. Two NVDA trades — one loss, one win.

Options

May 20·9 min read

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How I Use Cash-Secured Puts to Buy Stocks at a Discount

I use cash-secured puts in 3 scenarios — overvalued stock I want, post-earnings elevated IV, oversold conditions. My AAPL example: $3.20 collected, $196.80 effective cost.

Options

May 20·8 min read

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My Sunday Market Ritual: The 5-Hour Prep That Drives My Weekly Results

I spend 5 hours every Sunday preparing for the trading week. Hour-by-hour breakdown: macro review, IV scan, chart review, position audit, trade plan writing.

Markets

May 20·9 min read

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My Losing Trade Protocol: What I Do When a Position Goes Against Me

When a trade loses I follow a 3-threshold protocol: -25% review, -50% consider rolling, -100% close no exceptions. The NVDA iron condor that forced this system.

Options

May 20·8 min read

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My Position Sizing Formula: The Math I Use to Never Blow Up an Account

I never risk more than 3% on a single trade. My conviction-tiered sizing system, Kelly sanity check, and sector correlation rules — the complete framework.

Markets

May 20·9 min read

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How I Generate Monthly Income with Covered Calls: My System on Dividend Stocks

I sell covered calls on 4 dividend stocks — JNJ, PG, KO, XOM — generating 1.14%/month on top of dividends. My exact selection criteria and setup.

Options

May 20·8 min read

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The Iron Condor Rules I Never Break: My Framework for Neutral Markets

I trade iron condors with 7 non-negotiable rules. IV rank, strike selection, width math, and profit management — my complete neutral-market framework.

Options

May 20·9 min read

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My Stock Watchlist System: How I Find 5 High-Conviction Names Every Week

Every Friday I filter S&P 500 + Nasdaq 100 through 5 screens to find 5 high-conviction names. Relative strength, liquidity, fundamentals, earnings transcript language.

Markets

May 20·9 min read

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My VIX Spike Trading System: The 3-Step Setup I Use to Capture Fear Premiums

I trade VIX spikes above 25 with a 3-step system: IV rank scan, put credit spreads at -1σ, close at 50%. Here's the exact setup I use.

Options

May 20·8 min read

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Options ADV Hits 68.6M Contracts: What Record Volume Signals Before May Expiration

Q1 2026 options ADV reached 68.6M contracts/day — a new record. Here is what the surge in 0DTE retail volume and institutional hedging signals going into May expiration.

Options

May 19·7 min read

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51 Earnings in One Day: How to Trade Options Around May 21 Catalyst Week

May 21 brings 51 earnings reports in a single day. VIX at 18, IV crush risk up to 60% post-release. Here's my playbook for straddles, iron condors, and the NVDA calendar spread.

Options

May 19·7 min read

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Retail Down 6% in One Week: What Consumer Cracks Mean for Your Portfolio

Retail ETF XRT fell 6%+ in one week — its 4th straight weekly decline. Credit card delinquencies at 3.2%, real wages squeezed. Here's how I'm repositioning.

Markets

May 19·7 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Alphabet +34% Since April — The AI Stack Thesis Playing Out

Alphabet has surged +34% since April, the strongest move since 2004. Q1 EPS $2.81 vs $2.30 estimate. I added at $168 and explain why the AI stack thesis is now confirmed.

Analysis

May 19·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Brent at $105 and the Recession Signal Markets Are Ignoring

Brent crude is at $105 — 40% above pre-conflict levels. Ten of the last twelve recessions were preceded by oil price spikes. Here's why markets are underpricing this signal.

Markets

May 19·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Why Data Center Real Estate Is the Hidden Infrastructure Trade of 2026

Data center rents in Northern Virginia are up 40% YoY. $300B+ in AI capex is reshaping commercial real estate — and most investors haven't noticed yet.

Real Estate

May 19·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: S&P 500 at 20.9x P/E — The Valuation Wall Institutions Are Pricing

S&P 500 forward P/E at 20.9x — above the 5-year average of 19.2x. I break down what institutions are actually pricing, where margin risk hides, and my hedged position.

Analysis

May 19·8 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Warsh Takes the Fed — Rate Hike Odds Jump to 50% in One Week

Kevin Warsh replaces Powell as Fed Chair. Rate hike probability jumped from <1% to 50% in seven days. Here's what that repricing means for bonds, equities, and your portfolio.

Analysis

May 19·8 min read

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Treasury Yields at 4.56%: The Bond Market Math After the 3.8% CPI

10-year Treasury at 4.56% with CPI at 3.8% leaves a real yield of just 0.76%. Add Warsh's rate hike odds and the bond math for Q2 2026 gets more complex than the headline suggests.

Markets

May 19·7 min read

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US Housing: Inventory Up 4.2% While Prices Stall at 0% — The Signal Nobody Is Reading

US housing inventory rose 4.2% YoY — the biggest gain since 2018 — while median prices stalled at 0% growth. Analysts say a distribution top is forming, not a crash.

Real Estate

May 19·7 min read

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S&P 500 Hits Record 7,444 While Dow Falls: The PPI Number Splitting the Market

S&P 500 set a new all-time high at 7,444 on May 14. But April PPI came in at +1.4% vs 0.5% estimate — a divergence that explains why the Dow fell the same day.

Markets

May 14·6 min read

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VIX at 18, CPI at 3.8%: The Options Market Is Mispricing Inflation Risk

VIX closed at 17.99 while CPI hits 3.8% and PPI +1.4%. Four Fed dissents. Traders pricing 30% rate hike odds. My thesis: vol is too cheap for this macro setup.

Options

May 14·6 min read

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GameStop's $56B eBay Bid Was Rejected. Ryan Cohen's Capital Play Isn't Over.

GameStop bid $56B ($125/share, 46% premium) to acquire eBay. eBay rejected it as 'neither credible nor attractive.' Here's why Cohen's capital allocation thesis is more interesting than the headline.

Deals

May 14·6 min read

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Mortgage at 6.33%, Inventory Up 5.8%: The US Housing Market Refuses to Clear

NAR April data: existing-home sales 4.02M SAAR, median price $417,700 (+0.9% YoY), inventory 1.47M units. At 6.33% mortgage rates, the affordability math still doesn't work for most buyers.

Real Estate

May 14·6 min read

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Anduril Raises $5B at $61B: Defense Tech Is This Decade's AI Supercycle

Anduril's Series H closed at $61B valuation — doubled from $30.5B a year ago. Revenue doubled to $2.2B in 2025. Led by Thrive Capital and a16z. Here's why the defense-tech thesis is structural.

Ventures

May 14·6 min read

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Four Fed Dissents. 3.8% CPI. 30% Rate Hike Odds. The Inflation Consensus Just Cracked.

April CPI +3.8% YoY — highest since May 2023. PPI +1.4% vs 0.5% estimate. Four Fed dissents, most since 1992. CME FedWatch showing 30% odds of a rate hike by year-end.

News

May 14·5 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Singapore Real Estate as a Safe-Haven Allocation — Framework and District Analysis

Singapore property as portfolio safe-haven: SGD stability, rule of law, ABSD mechanics, district 9/10/11 yield vs capital appreciation analysis, expat demand drivers, and supply pipeline for 2026.

Real Estate

May 14·7 min read

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Ruslan Averin: What the Trump-Xi Summit Means for Asia-Pacific Portfolio Exposure

Trump is planning a visit to Xi Jinping in China to discuss tariffs and AI. My analysis of what a Trump-Xi deal means for Asia-Pacific portfolio exposure, China EM re-rating, and Taiwan strait risk.

Analysis

May 14·7 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Real Estate Investment Framework — How I Think About Property in 2026

Averin's 3-filter framework for real estate in 2026: yield, macro, asymmetry. Where the thesis points — and what to avoid in a high-rate, AI-reshaping world.

Real Estate

May 13·7 min read

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Ruslan Averin Options Strategy: How I Trade Volatility in 2026

My personal framework for options in 2026: the 3 setups I trade, how I size positions, what I avoid, and why high-IV semis are the most interesting market right now.

Options

May 13·6 min read

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One Stock Just Swallowed the Entire Options Market — $2.8 Billion in a Single Session

Micron options volume hit $2.8B in one session — more than SPY and QQQ combined. Here's what the trade says about the NAND supply chain and the week ahead.

Options

May 13·6 min read

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The Market Just Had Its Best Day of 2026 — Here's Why Smart Money Is Already Hedging

Dow +1,100 points, S&P +3%, Nasdaq +3.2% on the US-China tariff pause. Why the rally is real — and why it's not the signal most people think it is.

Markets

May 13·5 min read

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This $4 Billion Pesticide Giant Lost 73% and Just Put Itself Up for Sale — Bargain or Trap?

FMC Corporation is down 73% from its peak and formally on the auction block. Our analysts break down the bull and bear case on the most controversial value stock of 2026.

Analysis

May 13·7 min read

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Your Dream Home in Austin Is Crashing — While a Palo Alto Mansion Just Hit a New Record

AI money is splitting the US housing market in two. Bay Area luxury is up 13%. Nationally, sellers outnumber buyers by 630,000. Here's what this divergence means for real estate investors.

Real Estate

May 13·6 min read

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A San Francisco VC Just Paid $535 Million for a Piece of OnlyFans — And Called It 'Creator Economy'

Architect Capital paid $535M for 16% of OnlyFans at a $3.15B valuation — one month after the owner's death. The platform generates $7.2B in gross revenue. Here's why this deal is bigger than it looks.

Deals

May 13·5 min read

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The Dirty Secret of Silicon Valley's Unicorn Boom: Hundreds of Billion-Dollar Startups Are Secretly Paralyzed

Q1 2026 set a global VC funding record at $297B — but most of it went to 10 companies. The rest? Cap table gridlock, zombie valuations, and no exit in sight.

Ventures

May 13·6 min read

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Warren Buffett Said 95% of His Career Was Boring — And That's Exactly Why He Won

At Berkshire's 2026 annual meeting, Buffett called modern markets 'a church with a casino attached.' The most important investing insight of the year came from an 95-year-old in a folding chair.

Philosophy

May 13·5 min read

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The Trade War That Was Killing Markets Is Now 'On Pause' — Investors Have 90 Days to Figure This Out

The US and China slashed tariffs by 115 percentage points in a Geneva surprise. Here's what the 90-day clock actually means, what was not resolved, and what happens if the next summit fails.

News

May 13·5 min read

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Alphabet Stock Analysis 2026: AI Stack Thesis and $4.8T Valuation

Alphabet stock analysis 2026: $109.9B Q1 revenue, 81% profit surge, Cloud $20B. Why GOOGL at 28x forward P/E may still make sense.

Analysis

May 12·8 min read

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Week 20: CPI Miss, Yield Curve Steepens, Gold Back at $3,500

Week of May 12-15: CPI came in at 3.1% vs 3.3% expected — a soft surprise. 10-year yields fell 12bps. Gold retested $3,500. I added to my bond position.

Weekly Note

May 12·6 min

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Week 21: Nvidia Earnings Catalyst, Options Expiration Noise, Dollar Stabilizes

Week of May 19-22: Nvidia reported $44B quarterly revenue (+69% YoY). Options expiration created unusual intraday moves. DXY stabilized around 99.8 after 3 weeks of weakness.

Weekly Note

May 12·6 min

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Amazon AWS Q1 2026: 28% Growth, $37.6B Revenue, and the AI Infrastructure Thesis

AWS Q1 2026 revenue hit $37.59B, up 28% YoY — fastest growth in 15 quarters. Here's why I'm holding AMZN and what the capex bet actually means.

Deals

May 12·8 min read

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NVDA Earnings May 2026: How to Trade Options Around the IV Crush

NVDA reports May 20. IV is 40–55% before earnings, then collapses. Here's how to trade it without getting crushed.

Options

May 12·9 min read

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Copper at $6.41/lb: Why AI Data Centers Are Igniting a Supply Supercycle

Copper is up 37% YoY at $6.41/lb. AI data centers need 27–33 tonnes per MW. Here's the demand math — and the mine supply reality.

Analysis

May 12·8 min read

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ECB Holds at 2.00% — but June Hike Is Now the Base Case

ECB held at 2.00% on April 30. Energy-driven CPI and Schnabel signals put a June hike at 76% probability. Terminal rate: 2.25%.

News

May 12·7 min read

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The DAX Outperformance Case in 2026: Why European Equities Deserve Your Attention

DAX surged past 25,000 for the first time in history in early 2026. Here's why European equities offer a compelling case vs. a stretched S&P 500.

Markets

May 12·7 min read

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The Pre-Trade Checklist: 5 Questions I Ask Before Every Entry

Five questions I ask myself before entering any trade. Skip one and you're guessing. Answer all five and you're investing.

Philosophy

May 12·9 min read

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Amazon AWS Q1 2026: 28% Growth, $37.6B Revenue, and the AI Infrastructure Thesis

AWS posted $37.6B in Q1 2026 — its fastest growth in 15 quarters — as Amazon bets $44B in CapEx on AI supremacy. Here's why I hold AMZN.

Deals

May 12·8 min read

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Warsaw Real Estate 2026: Prices, Yields, and the CEE Investment Case

Warsaw apartments average PLN 17,000/sqm in 2026. Gross yields reach 7% in outer districts. Poland's CEE real estate investment case, by the data.

Real Estate

May 12·10 min read

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Ruslan Averin: Investment Philosophy, Market Approach, and Portfolio Principles

Ruslan Averin on investment philosophy: four questions before any position, asset class framework, and the three behaviors that cost most investors money.

Philosophy

May 12·12 min read

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Iron Condor: Sell Premium and Profit When Markets Don't Move

The iron condor profits when a stock stays range-bound. Combine a bear call spread and a bull put spread to collect premium and let time work for you.

Options

May 11·9 min read

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Protective Put vs Stop-Loss: Which Protects Your Portfolio Better?

Stop-loss orders are free but gap down overnight and execute at terrible prices. Protective puts cost money but guarantee your exit. Here's how to choose.

Options

May 11·8 min read

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10 Beginner Mistakes in Options Trading (and How to Avoid Them)

Studies show 75% of options traders lose money in their first year. Here are the 10 mistakes that cause most of those losses — and exactly how to fix them.

Options

May 11·10 min read

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Why I Hold 8 Positions, Not 40: The Case for Concentrated Investing

The average equity mutual fund holds 147 positions. My core portfolio has 8. Diversification past 15 positions dilutes returns without reducing real risk.

Philosophy

May 11·9 min

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US-China 90-Day Tariff Truce: What Markets Priced In and What They Missed

The 90-day tariff pause sent SPX up 9.5% in three days. Markets celebrated. I used the rally to hedge — because a pause is not a deal, and the structural.

News

May 11·8 min

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Fed Holds at 4.25-4.50%: Three Things Markets Got Wrong About the Statement

The Fed held rates — expected. But the statement contained three signals markets initially misread. Powell's language on tariff inflation was more hawkish than.

News

May 11·7 min

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How to Read an Options Chain

The options chain looks like a wall of numbers. After this guide, you'll read it like a map — understanding every column from bid/ask to the Greeks.

Options

May 10·9 min read

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Bull Call Spread: Defined-Risk Bullish Strategy

A bull call spread lets you bet on a stock rising while capping both your maximum profit and loss — perfect for beginners who hate surprises.

Options

May 10·9 min read

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Bear Put Spread: Defined-Risk Bearish Strategy

Bear put spread profits from falling prices at a fraction of the cost of buying a put outright — with strictly capped risk.

Options

May 10·9 min read

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Week 19: Fed Holds, Dollar Slides, Small Caps Finally Move

Week of May 5-8: Fed held at 4.25-4.50% as expected. DXY broke below 100. Russell 2000 up 2.8% — the first meaningful small-cap outperformance since February.

Weekly Note

May 10·6 min

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Position Sizing: The Math of Not Blowing Up

The Kelly Criterion says bet 20% on a 60% win-rate trade. I cap at 8%. Here's why most investors size positions wrong and the simple framework I use after.

Philosophy

May 10·9 min

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Why I Write Before I Buy: The Pre-Trade Note That Saved Me $40,000

Before every trade, I write a 200-word note: thesis, what kills it, exit plan. I once skipped it on a 'quick trade' and lost $40,000. I haven't skipped it.

Philosophy

May 10·8 min

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Covered Call Strategy: Earning Income from Stocks You Own

Writing covered calls turns idle stock holdings into monthly income. Learn how to choose the right strike, calculate your yield, and manage the risk of having.

Options

May 9·8 min read

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Cash-Secured Put: Getting Paid to Buy Stocks at a Discount

Learn how to collect premium income while waiting to buy your favorite stocks at a lower price — the same strategy Warren Buffett used to earn $7.5 million.

Options

May 9·8 min read

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Implied Volatility Explained for Options Beginners

IV crush wiped out profits for traders who were right on direction but wrong on volatility. Here's everything beginners need to know about implied volatility.

Options

May 9·9 min

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Alphabet Q1 2026: Search Holds, YouTube Accelerates, I Added at $168

Alphabet reported Q1 revenue of $90.2B (+12% YoY), YouTube $9.4B, Cloud $12.3B at 28% margin. I added to my position at $168 post-earnings. Here's the full.

Deals

May 9·8 min

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Meta Q1 2026: 42% Operating Margin and Why I Added at $580

Meta's Q1 2026: $42.3B revenue, 42% operating margin, AI Advantage+ doubling ad performance. I initiated a new position at $572 and added at $580. Full thesis.

Deals

May 9·8 min

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Berkshire's $334B Cash Pile: What Buffett Is Waiting For

Berkshire holds $334B in cash and T-bills — generating $6.9B/year risk-free. No major acquisitions since 2023. I hold BRK.B and read the cash pile as a signal.

Deals

May 9·8 min

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The Greeks: Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega for Beginners

Four numbers predict what your option does next. Learn Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega with real examples and a quick-reference table.

Options

May 8·9 min read

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Buying Your First Call Option: Step by Step

A practical walkthrough of buying a call option for the first time — from account approval to placing the trade and managing your position.

Options

May 8·8 min read

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Put Options as Portfolio Insurance: A Beginner's Guide

In 2022, the S&P 500 fell nearly 20%. Investors who held protective put options lost roughly half that. Here's how portfolio insurance with puts works — and.

Options

May 8·8 min read

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S&P 500 Q1 2026 Earnings Season: 78% Beat Rate and What Comes Next

78% of S&P 500 companies beat Q1 estimates. EPS grew 9.4% YoY, led by tech and financials. Here's what the earnings picture tells me about the second half of 2026.

Markets

May 8·7 min

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Dollar Weakness in 2026: Why DXY Below 100 Changes Your Portfolio Math

DXY dropped below 100 for the first time since 2022. The implications for international equities, commodities, and dollar-denominated debt are larger than most investors realize.

Markets

May 8·7 min

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Emerging Markets 2026: Three ETFs I'm Watching as the Dollar Peaks

EM equities trade at 12x forward earnings vs 21x for the S&P 500. Dollar weakness is the catalyst. I'm building positions in EEM, VWO, and India-specific exposure.

Markets

May 8·8 min

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The $300B AI Capex Cycle: What Microsoft, Google, and Meta Are Actually Building

Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon will spend over $300B on AI infrastructure in 2026. This is not a bubble — it's an infrastructure cycle. I'm positioned in.

News

May 8·8 min

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What Is an Option? Calls and Puts Explained

Options let you control 100 shares of stock for a fraction of the price. Learn how calls and puts work with real examples and plain language.

Options

May 7·8 min read

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How Options Are Priced: Intrinsic Value vs Time Value

An AAPL $200 call trading at $8.50 — where does that price come from? Learn the two components of every option premium: intrinsic value and time value.

Options

May 7·8 min read

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Strike Price and Expiration Date: How to Choose

Choosing the wrong strike price cost me $400 in my first options trade. Here's the framework I wish I had from day one.

Options

May 7·8 min read

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Corporate Bond Market 2026: IG at 5.3%, HY at 7.8% — Which Tier Is Right for You?

Corporate bond market 2026: IG yields at 5.2–5.4%, HY at 7.5–8%. Record Q1 issuance signals opportunity — and risk. Our analysts assess both tiers.

Analysis

May 6·9 min

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High-Yield Bonds in May 2026: The 30-Day Window Our Analysts Are Running

The Fed's rate freeze through June 2026 opens a 30-day window in short-duration high-yield bonds. Our analysts map three positions yielding 6.7–7.9%.

Analysis

May 6·5 min

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Q2 2026 Bond Strategy: Three Positions to Build Before the July FOMC

Q2 2026 is the first full tariff quarter. IG spreads are historically tight, HY has already repriced. Here is where we see value — and what to hedge.

Analysis

May 6·7 min

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The Full-Year Bond Playbook: How to Position Across 12 Months of Fed Cuts, Tariff Risk, and a Turning Credit Cycle

The Fed is cutting. Here is the complete 2026 bond market playbook — IG ladder construction, high-yield selection, EM opportunity, hedging framework, and three.

Analysis

May 6·8 min

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Taryan Towers 2026: The War Paradox That Created Kyiv's Best Investment Opportunity

Taryan Towers dropped 55% in 2022 and recovered 65% from the war low by 2026. Rental yields reach 12%+. The pattern seen in Tel Aviv, Beirut, and Sarajevo is.

Real Estate

May 6·12 min

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BNTX Stock Analysis 2026: mRNA Oncology vs COVID Valuation

BNTX stock broke above 200-day MA. With 47 oncology programs and $10B cash, the market still prices it as a COVID play — that gap is the trade.

Analysis

May 6·7 min read

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Mitsubishi Corporation (8058): ¥1.17 Trillion Profit, 9% Buffett Stake, and the Largest Buyback — The Flagship Sogo Shosha in 2026

Mitsubishi (8058): $7.8B profit, ¥300B buyback, Buffett at 9% — and trading at 10x earnings. Why this is the strongest risk-adjusted entry in Japanese equities.

Analysis

May 5·10 min

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Mitsui & Co. (8031): Record ¥1 Trillion Profit, LNG Backlog, and 9x Earnings — The Commodity Case for 2026

Mitsui cleared ¥1 trillion in net profit for the first time in FY2025 — trading at 9x earnings. The LNG and iron ore thesis, BOJ risks, and the 12-month.

Analysis

May 5·10 min

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Itochu Corporation (8001): Buffett's Most Defensive Pick at 12x Earnings — Buy, Hold, or Sell in 2026?

Of Berkshire's five Japanese holdings, Itochu is the most defensive. At ¥7,200 and 12x earnings with 18% ROE, it commands a premium. Here is whether that.

Analysis

May 5·10 min

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Sumitomo Corporation (8053): 3.8% Dividend Yield, Copper Upside, and 1.2x Book — The Income and Value Case

Sumitomo offers the highest dividend yield (3.8%) of Japan's Big Five at 1.2x book. The copper thesis, nickel aftermath, and why income investors are watching.

Analysis

May 5·9 min

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Marubeni (8002): The Cheapest Sogo Shosha at Sub-9x Earnings — Maximum Value or Maximum Risk in 2026?

Marubeni (8002) at sub-9x earnings: cheapest of Japan's Big Five with a 3.5% yield. The grain tariff risk is real — but the power infrastructure upside is.

Analysis

May 5·9 min

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FSLR Stock Forecast 2026: Record Quarter, Target $238

FSLR stock hit record $1B quarterly revenue and broke out 7.1% on earnings. Only US CdTe panel maker — immune to tariffs. Target $238.

Analysis

May 5·7 min read

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UPS Stock 2026: 6% Dividend and 4:1 Institutional Buy Ratio

UPS stock yields 6.1% and institutional buyers ran 4:1 in Q1 2026. Down 45% from peak, the $117–124 buy zone offers asymmetric upside in logistics.

Analysis

May 5·6 min read

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ReArm Europe: €800B Committed, NATO at 5% GDP — Why Rheinmetall at +3.4% Is a Buying Opportunity

NATO set a 5% GDP defense target. EU committed €800B. Rheinmetall is up just 3.4% YTD while BAE is +23%. Here is why the divergence is a setup.

Analysis

May 4·8 min

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Warsaw Real Estate Investment 2026: District Yields and Entry Strategy

Warsaw real estate Q1 2026: district-by-district yields, NBP rate cut impact, Ukrainian demand, and optimal entry zones for buy-to-let investors.

Real Estate

May 4·14 min

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IBKR Stock Analysis 2026: Buy Zone $118–124, Target $132

IBKR stock consolidates 3% below all-time high. Volatility drives revenue, RSI has room, 14 analysts rate Buy. Entry $118–124, target $132.

Analysis

May 4·7 min read

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UNH Stock 2026: Is the 40% Crash a Buy at $312?

UNH stock crashed 40% then recovered 35%. RSI cooling and CEO transition managed — the $312–340 zone is our structural entry target.

Analysis

May 4·7 min read

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EL Stock Analysis 2026: Estée Lauder at Half Fair Value

EL stock trades at $79 vs GF fair value of $106. Q1 beat sent shares up 11.5% in one session. The bottoming pattern is forming — entry $72–80.

Analysis

May 4·6 min read

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Options Playbook May 2026: VIX Levels, NVDA Earnings Skew, and Premium Strategy

VIX 17 + SKEW 141 + NVDA earnings May 20: three trades — QQQ covered call, iron condor, VIX calendar spread. Defined risk in a contradictory vol environment.

Options

May 4·7 min

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Markets at All-Time Highs While Institutions Price a 49% Correction Chance: Both Are Right

S&P 500 hit ATH 7,230 on April 30. EPS beat rate 84%, blended growth +27.1%. Both bulls and bears have a case — here is how I read it.

Markets

May 4·7 min

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Gold Down 18% From ATH While Central Banks Buy: What the Broken Correlation Means

Gold fell from $5,589 ATH to ~$4,600. Central banks are still buying. The dollar is at 3-year lows. Why is gold down? The correlation broke.

Analysis

May 4·8 min

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$725 Billion in AI Capex, 90% Zero Productivity Gains: What This Paradox Means for Investors

Hyperscalers commit $725B to AI in 2026. NBER finds 90% of firms report zero productivity gain. Is this the largest misallocation in history — or early cycle?

Analysis

May 4·9 min

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Powell Holds, Warsh Waits — and the Two Men Have Completely Different Theories of Inflation

Powell's last FOMC: 8-4 dissent, core PCE at 3.2%. Kevin Warsh believes tariffs aren't inflationary and AI is deflationary. Here is why that matters.

Analysis

May 4·8 min

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Is the $35 Hormuz Premium Permanent — or One Ceasefire Away From Collapse?

Hormuz closed March 4. Brent hit $126, now $108-116. XLE up 35% YTD. Permian rig count at 4-year lows. Here is what energy markets are actually pricing.

Analysis

May 4·8 min

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Amazon Q1 2026: AWS Breaks $26B as Cloud Becomes Profit Equal to Retail

AWS surpassed $26 billion in quarterly revenue with 20% YoY growth, while advertising accelerated to 30% growth. Analysts dissect what Amazon's cloud-first.

Deals

May 3·8 min

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Cutting Losses vs. Holding Conviction: How to Know the Difference

The difference between a broken thesis and price discomfort. My rule: write down why you bought it before the moment you want to sell it.

Philosophy

May 3·8 min

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London Buy-to-Let 2026: What Yields Actually Look Like

London buy-to-let 2026: yields hit 6–7% in outer east, but Section 24 and SDLT stack change the math. A zone-by-zone investor breakdown.

Real Estate

May 3·12 min

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BMW Q1 2026: Triple Compression — Tariffs, China Demand, BEV Miss

BMW delivered 565,748 cars in Q1 2026. The stock is down 25% YTD. Three simultaneous pressures explain both numbers.

Analysis

May 3·7 min

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American Airlines Q1 2026 Earnings: $0.53 Beat, Guidance Pulled — The Trade Logic

American Airlines beat Q1 2026 EPS consensus by $0.53 on record loyalty revenue. Management then withdrew annual guidance, citing macro and tariff uncertainty.

Analysis

May 3·7 min

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Dubai Property After Iran's Strikes: What Fell, What Held, and Where Capital Is Moving in 2026

Iran struck Dubai directly — airport, Burj Al Arab, Palm Jumeirah. Transactions fell 25%, prices 4–6%. Here is the full damage report and where the opportunity.

Real Estate

May 3·14 min

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SLB Stock 2026: 26 Bullish Signals, Zero Bearish — Target $63

SLB stock flashed 26/26 bullish technical signals and is up 41% YTD. Citi and UBS target $68–69. The cleanest chart in the entire oil sector.

Analysis

May 2·6 min read

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HAL Stock Analysis 2026: Earnings Beat, Resistance Broken, Target $48

HAL stock surged 7% on Q1 beat and broke key resistance the same session. 17 analyst Buy ratings. Entry zone $38–41, target $48.

Analysis

May 2·6 min read

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BKR Stock 2026: Baker Hughes Powers AI Data Centers, Target $80

BKR stock isn't just oilfield — it builds LNG turbines for AI data centers. Susquehanna raised target to $80. Buy zone $62–66.

Analysis

May 2·7 min read

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CAT Stock 2026: +185% Run — Can Caterpillar Hit $1,000?

CAT stock posted a 19% EPS beat and hit all-time highs in Q1 2026. ChartMill 10/10 technical rating. Bull case to $935–1000 backed by AI infrastructure.

Analysis

May 2·7 min read

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EMR Stock Analysis 2026: 1.7GW AI Contract Before Earnings

EMR stock power control orders grew 74% YoY with a 1.7GW AI data center contract. Q2 earnings May 5. Buy zone $138–143.

Analysis

May 2·6 min read

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Boeing Q1 2026 Earnings: $0.55 Beat, Cash Burn Turns — Is the Inflection Real?

Boeing Q1 2026 earnings beat consensus by $0.55 on EPS. Cash burn narrowed from -$1.6B to -$179M. The inflection trade is becoming real — with three caveats.

Analysis

May 1·8 min

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Berlin Real Estate Investment 2026: Decade-Low Prices, Rising Foreign Capital

Berlin real estate investment in 2026 hits decade-low valuations — 22.6x rent multiple — as foreign capital doubles its market share. Here's what the numbers.

Real Estate

May 1·8 min

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Istanbul Property Prices Rose 28%: What Dollar Investors Actually Made in 2026

Istanbul property prices rose 28% in lira in 2025 — but inflation-adjusted USD returns turned negative. A district-by-district yield analysis for 2026.

Real Estate

May 1·8 min

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ULTA Beauty Stock Analysis 2026: After Buffett's Exit, What Now?

Berkshire spent $266M buying ULTA Beauty in 2024, then exited before a 40% rally. Now at $607 with double-digit EPS guidance, is this the setup they abandoned?

Analysis

May 1·8 min

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SMCI Earnings May 2026: Options IV Crush Setup and Position Strategy

SMCI IV at 70% vs 159% realized vol — options priced for calm when the stock moves like a hurricane. The pre-earnings straddle setup explained.

Options

May 1·7 min

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April 2026

50 entries

Microsoft Q3 FY2026: Azure Growth Reaccelerates to 35%, Copilot Revenue Finally Visible

Azure accelerates to 35% YoY growth; Copilot seats hit 20M+. Our analysts assess what $80B capex signals for AI dominance.

Analysis

Apr 30·8 min

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Fed FOMC May 2026 Preview: Will the Fed Hold Rates Again?

FOMC meets June 16-17. Hold probability 70%, cut 28%. Weak GDP and sticky prices complicate the projections.

News

Apr 30·8 min

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US Office Real Estate Distress 2026: Vacancy at Record, but the Cycle Is Turning

US office vacancy hit 22.2% in Q1 2026—yet distressed sales are resetting valuations while patient capital scouts selective opportunities. Where the cycle.

Real Estate

Apr 30·9 min

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SPX Recovery and VIX Compression After Tariff Shock: Reading the Signals for May 2026

SPX bounced 12% from April lows, VIX fell to 22. Here's what the numbers tell us about May.

Markets

Apr 30·7 min

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NVIDIA Covered Call at $250: Collecting $10.50 in May When IV Peaks

I sold the May $250 covered call for $10.50 per share with IV at 31%. Effective cost basis: $216.90. Target: either 9.9% return at assignment or keep shares if.

Options

Apr 30·8 min

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Dubai Real Estate Q1 2026: AED 176.7B Record Year, First Price Correction in 14 Quarters

Dubai set an AED 176.7B annual transaction record in 2025 while Q1 2026 shows the first price decline in 14 quarters. Fitch warns of investment-grade.

Real Estate

Apr 30·8 min

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Singapore Property Districts 2026: Yields, Prices and the Honest Outlook

Singapore's 28 property districts yield 2.5–4.5%. A district-by-district breakdown of CCR, RCR, and OCR returns — and where the 2026 value actually sits.

Real Estate

Apr 29·12 min

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GDP at 0.5%, Oil Above $100, a New Fed Chair: My Q2 2026 Read

Q1 GDP at 0.5%, Brent above $107 with Hormuz closed, Fed chair transition — three shocks converging. Here's what I'm watching and where I'm positioned.

Markets

Apr 29·5 min

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AWS Accelerates, CapEx Hits $200B+ Territory — Here's My Read on the Trade

Amazon Q1 2026: $187.8B revenue, $18.4B operating income, AWS +17% YoY, and $105B CapEx — the largest in corporate history. My read on why it's bullish.

Deals

Apr 29·5 min

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Dubai Real Estate Q1 2026: Record AED 176.4B in Sales — and the First Price Drop in 14 Quarters

Dubai Q1 2026: record AED 176.4B in transactions yet first price decline in 14 quarters. The paradox explained for investors evaluating the market.

Real Estate

Apr 29·6 min

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Alphabet Q1 2026 Earnings Analysis: The $2.81 EPS That Rewrote the AI Narrative

Alphabet Q1 2026 earnings analysis: $90.2B revenue, $2.81 EPS vs $2.01 expected, Google Cloud +28% YoY, $70B buyback announced.

Analysis

Apr 29·5 min

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NVDA Options Before Earnings: Vol Positioning as IV Compresses to 17.8%

VIX at 17.8 after six weeks of compression. NVDA earnings May 21. The pre-earnings vol expansion window is open — here is the setup.

Options

Apr 29·7 min

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I Paid $18 to Own Both Sides of Microsoft Earnings

Positioned a $412 straddle before MSFT earnings (April 30) for $18.40 per contract, betting on Azure growth re-acceleration or guidance disappointment.

Options

Apr 28·5 min

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Meta Is Spending $65B on AI. I'm Long at $563.

Bought META at $563.20 before Q1 earnings; betting on advertising revenue growth overriding AI capex concerns.

Deals

Apr 28·5 min

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Apple's China Sales Fell 11%. I'm Still Getting Paid on My Shares.

Sold covered calls on AAPL at $204.80, capping upside at $210 while hedging against a worse-than-consensus China earnings miss.

Options

Apr 28·5 min

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DXY Below 98: The Quiet Trade That's Beating Everything in 2026

DXY below 98.4 for the first time since 2022 changes everything — I trimmed USD cash 8 points and redeployed into gold, EM equities, and commodity.

Markets

Apr 28·6 min

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Markets Are Calm. I Just Paid $24 to Disagree.

VIX at 14.8 with SPX at 5,420 pricing in a Goldilocks scenario—no cuts, no hikes. I bought a June SPX put spread ($24 debit) to hedge equity book tail risk.

Options

Apr 28·5 min

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18% Vacancy, 10% Yields: The Kyiv Trade Nobody Is Making

Class A office vacancy in Kyiv compressed to 18% as international companies return—net yields reaching 9–11% signal structural demand from EU firms.

Real Estate

Apr 28·6 min

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Federal Reserve Holds Rates at 3.50–3.75% in Powell's Final Meeting

The Fed maintained steady rates as Jerome Powell concludes his tenure. Kevin Warsh nomination advances amid market expectations of 1–2 cuts by year-end.

News

Apr 28·4 min

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The Less You Know About Tomorrow, the More You Should Plan Today

A framework for investing when uncertainty peaks: why position size matters more than being right about direction.

Philosophy

Apr 28·6 min

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Powell's Final FOMC: The 8-4 Vote That Signals What Comes Next

Jerome Powell's last FOMC ended with rates held at 3.50–3.75% and an 8-4 internal vote. The split reveals more than the decision.

News

Apr 28·6 min

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The Perfect Storm: FOMC, Big Tech, and GDP in One Week

Four catalysts collide this week: Fed holds steady, MSFT GOOGL META AMZN all report, GDP shock at 0.5%. What I'm watching.

Weekly Note

Apr 27·4 min

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The Perfect Storm for Premium Sellers: VIX 18, Mega Earnings, and a Fed on Hold

Four mega-cap earnings in one week, a Fed decision, and a GDP shock — all while VIX sits at 18. I'm not guessing direction. I'm collecting premium.

Options

Apr 27·5 min

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Kyiv Buy-to-Let 2026: Why New Build + Renovation Beats Secondary in 8 of 10 Districts

Kyiv buy-to-let 2026: real lun.ua prices show primary market + 50% renovation yields 0.4–2.2 percentage points above secondary in 8 of 10 districts.

Real Estate

Apr 27·14 min

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Pfizer (PFE): The Restructuring Nobody Is Watching

Pfizer trades near its lows while quietly rebuilding through oncology, Seagen integration, and a 6.5% yield that keeps the question alive: value trap or.

Analysis

Apr 26·8 min

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PBF Energy (PBF): Reading the Refiner's Thermometer

PBF Energy is a pure-play independent refiner trading below book, a cyclical thermometer for the American fuel economy that the market prefers to ignore until.

Analysis

Apr 26·7 min

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Palo Alto Networks (PANW): Platformization and Its Price

PANW is executing a difficult strategic pivot toward full-stack security while trading at 20x revenue. The RPO-to-revenue gap is the single metric that decides.

Analysis

Apr 26·8 min

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Occidental Petroleum (OXY): Buffett's Hypothesis on American Shale

OXY is a leveraged bet on domestic shale longevity wrapped inside a chemicals-and-midstream chassis. The CrownRock acquisition reshaped the balance sheet. What.

Analysis

Apr 26·9 min

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Realty Income (O): The Coupon Machine and Its Rate Problem

Thirty years of dividend growth, 15,000+ properties, a 5.7% yield trading at 13x AFFO versus a historical 18–20x. Realty Income is not a growth story — it is a.

Analysis

Apr 26·8 min

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London vs Warsaw vs Kyiv: Buy-to-Let Returns in 2026, Compared

London, Warsaw, Kyiv — three capitals, three risk profiles. Which city delivers the best risk-adjusted returns for buy-to-let investors in 2026?

Real Estate

Apr 26·13 min

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Caterpillar (CAT): Covered Call Against an All-Time High

CAT hit a new all-time high of $845 on April 23. I was positioned long at $824 with a covered call at $840 — capped upside, but 3.1% in five sessions is.

Options

Apr 25·5 min

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Honeywell (HON): Fading the Beat When the Guidance Tells You More

HON beat Q1 EPS by $0.13 but missed revenue and guided Q2 below consensus. I opened a bear put spread at $215/$205 after the initial reaction faded. Sometimes.

Options

Apr 25·5 min

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ExxonMobil (XOM): A Covered Call at Range Resistance When Crude Was Indecisive

XOM had been capped at $150 for several sessions while crude stayed indecisive. I entered at $146.80, sold the $150 covered call at $1.80, and closed the full.

Options

Apr 25·5 min

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Diamondback Energy (FANG): Selling Premium While the Catalyst Calendar Is Light

FANG was $10 below its March high with no near-term catalysts in sight. I bought at $191.80 and sold the $195 call at $3.80 — the call expired worthless at.

Options

Apr 25·5 min

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Bond Market 2026: Best Opportunity in a Decade — Investment Grade & High Yield

Bond market 2026 outlook: Fed on hold at 3.50-3.75%, 10-year at 4.3%. Investment grade and high yield offering best risk-adjusted entry in a decade.

Markets

Apr 24·8 min

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Global Real Estate Markets 2026: Where Smart Money Is Moving

From Kyiv's war-discounted apartments to Dubai's oversupply risk and Singapore's controlled bubble — a city-by-city breakdown of where the value is.

Real Estate

Apr 24·9 min

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Gold, Oil, and the Dollar: Commodities Outlook for 2026

Gold at $4,800, Brent above $100, and the dollar weakening — how commodities fit into my portfolio and what I'm doing about it.

Markets

Apr 24·7 min

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AI Stocks in 2026: Bubble or Beginning? The Dot-Com Comparison Explained

Nvidia vs Cisco dot-com bubble comparison: $690B hyperscaler capex, 71% gross margins, and real earnings. Here's where the AI trade is bubble — and where it isn't.

Markets

Apr 24·9 min

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Week 18: Markets Digest Earnings Season

Q1 earnings off to a strong start with an 88% beat rate, Tesla stumbles on capex guidance, and gold holds above $4,700 as the Iran ceasefire wobbles.

Weekly Note

Apr 24·3 min

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Emerson Electric (EMR): Entering Ahead of a Clean Earnings Beat

I initiated a long in EMR at $138.40 one day before Q1 2026 earnings. The beat and raised guidance sent the stock to $143.60 — a 3.76% gain in two sessions.

Deals

Apr 23·5 min

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ConocoPhillips (COP): Buying the Macro Fear Dip in Quality E&P

COP dropped 2.1% on April 22 on tariff-demand fears — an overreaction in a company with a Permian-dominant, low-breakeven portfolio. I bought the dip at.

Deals

Apr 23·5 min

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EOG Resources: Entering the Best-in-Class Independent E&P After the Pullback

EOG sat at $129.50 — the lower third of its 12-month range — while the market ignored its well economics story. I entered on April 21 and exited at $134.30 on.

Deals

Apr 23·5 min

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EQT Corporation: The Natural Gas Setup Nobody Wanted Before the Beat

EQT was down 12% over the prior month when I entered at $56.40 on April 20. Q1 earnings the next day: revenue +94% YoY, EPS $2.36 beat. I exited at $59.80 on.

Deals

Apr 23·6 min

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The Case for Buying Real Estate When Everyone Runs

Significant discounts to market. The math of buying distressed assets when nobody else will.

Real Estate

Apr 22·6 min

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European Markets: The Contrarian Case for EU Equities

The DAX at 17x earnings while the S&P trades at 21x. European defense spending is booming, banks are flush, and nobody in the US is paying attention. That's exactly why I'm buying.

Markets

Apr 22·8 min

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Geopolitics and Markets: What Traders Actually Need to Watch in 2026

Wars, tariffs, elections, oil blockades — the geopolitical risk menu is the thickest I have seen in my career, and most investors are pricing almost none of it.

Markets

Apr 22·10 min

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